Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 122.905505 141.729800 163.661902 191.402003 225.986783 268.278384 3.248552e+02
2025-03-09 97.559298 120.913306 151.082521 194.026414 255.549456 343.898264 4.874116e+02
2025-03-16 81.819794 105.940329 139.166258 190.261975 270.870872 401.320043 6.494589e+02
2025-03-23 74.916389 100.750947 138.414338 200.589687 308.194094 504.877853 9.504700e+02
2025-03-30 66.002394 90.993996 128.827257 194.390154 315.586435 558.280300 1.191807e+03
2025-04-06 60.490471 85.374697 124.427267 195.400093 335.641254 644.951084 1.593967e+03
2025-04-13 55.704631 80.178668 119.775738 194.759993 352.000059 731.482789 2.102078e+03
2025-04-20 53.177221 78.203244 120.081152 203.159843 389.875157 892.976014 3.154876e+03
2025-04-27 52.066523 78.358931 123.998295 219.355571 451.527283 1167.478453 5.531632e+03
2025-05-04 48.597977 74.120508 119.380021 216.905211 466.311578 1305.592749 7.705449e+03
2025-05-11 46.158528 71.408823 117.225930 219.335731 495.239203 1523.742978 1.208131e+04
2025-05-18 43.207621 67.513729 112.338230 214.674535 502.561190 1663.089546 1.710518e+04
2025-05-25 40.843779 64.666370 109.555894 215.427144 530.280051 1951.285013 3.133476e+04
2025-06-01 38.913914 62.465350 107.862705 218.726069 569.240925 2374.218547 7.469188e+04
2025-06-08 36.504834 59.143824 103.458371 214.298483 580.186184 2658.644603 1.638846e+05
2025-06-15 35.718045 58.810860 105.249709 226.468903 659.606971 3644.315123 2.474763e+06
2025-06-22 33.493935 55.508111 100.264121 219.158522 658.440538 3961.256297 5.721650e+07
2025-06-29 32.099840 53.720245 98.407922 220.348457 695.026055 4815.397430 NaN
2025-07-06 30.694269 51.797273 96.036845 219.594231 723.366236 5734.305264 NaN
2025-07-13 30.083287 51.416781 97.124205 229.503720 810.978607 8156.973163 NaN
2025-07-20 30.009810 52.120585 100.822874 248.681942 966.978175 14138.203471 NaN
2025-07-27 28.718225 50.184883 97.976039 245.774391 993.713961 17273.226710 NaN
2025-08-03 27.819992 49.015102 96.881176 248.658392 1061.438607 24049.538615 NaN